The Association of German Airports (Association of German Airports (ADV)) has issued a warning that the aviation sector may soon face widespread disruption as jet fuel supply pressures continue to intensify.
Speaking to the Sunday edition of Germany’s Welt newspaper, ADV chief executive Ralph Beisel said airlines are increasingly likely to cancel services, particularly low-cost carriers and routes considered less essential for tourism demand.
Beisel noted that under an optimistic outlook for 2026, passenger traffic would remain stable. However, he cautioned that a more severe scenario could see airport capacity fall by around 10 percent. Across the aviation network, that reduction could translate into disruptions affecting as many as 20 million travellers.
Such a decline would likely lead to certain destinations losing direct connectivity altogether, while others would see fewer available flights and higher fares due to constrained supply.
The association pointed to geopolitical tensions affecting global energy flows as a key factor behind the disruption. The conflict involving Iran has unsettled oil transportation routes through the Strait of Hormuz, contributing to rising jet fuel costs.
According to Beisel, jet fuel prices have remained at roughly double pre-conflict levels for more than two months, with no immediate relief expected. He added that even when fuel is available, current price levels make it difficult for airlines to operate many routes profitably, raising the likelihood of further schedule reductions in the months ahead.
Source: Oman Daily Observer