Airlines worldwide are adjusting ticket prices and scaling back flight capacity in response to a sudden spike in oil prices, a shift that could test the industry’s profitability if higher travel costs discourage passengers.

Prior to the escalation of the U.S.-Israeli conflict involving Iran last month, the aviation sector had projected record profits of $41 billion for 2026. However, a sharp increase in jet fuel costs—reportedly doubling in recent weeks—has disrupted those expectations, prompting carriers to reassess their operations and route networks.

Major airlines, including United Airlines, Air New Zealand, and Scandinavian Airlines, have already announced capacity reductions alongside fare increases. Others have introduced or expanded fuel surcharges to offset rising expenses.

Industry experts warn that airlines are facing conflicting pressures. Rigas Doganis, former head of Olympic Airways and a past director at easyJet, described the situation as a “perfect storm,” noting that carriers may need to lower fares to stimulate weakening demand even as higher fuel costs push them in the opposite direction.

The sector had enjoyed a strong recovery in 2025, with global passenger traffic reaching levels approximately 9% above those seen before the COVID-19 pandemic. Robust demand and supply-chain constraints, particularly delays in aircraft deliveries, had allowed airlines to maintain high seat occupancy and exert pricing power.

However, the scale of fare increases required to offset fuel costs could prove challenging, especially as households face higher gasoline prices that may limit discretionary spending on travel.

Analysts suggest capacity reductions may be the primary tool airlines use to support pricing. Andrew Lobbenberg, head of European transport equity research at Barclays, said cutting available seats is often the most effective way to drive fares higher during periods of crisis.

Airlines have already begun signaling the extent of potential fare hikes. The chief executive of United Airlines, Scott Kirby, recently indicated ticket prices may need to rise by around 20% to cover fuel costs.

Meanwhile, Cathay Pacific has increased fuel surcharges twice in the past month. From Wednesday, passengers flying return economy routes between Sydney and London will face an additional $800 surcharge, compared to a typical pre-crisis fare of about A$2,000 ($1,369.60).

Low-cost carriers are expected to be particularly vulnerable, as their customer base tends to be more sensitive to price increases. Analysts note that some travelers may shift to alternative transport options, such as rail or bus services, especially for short-haul journeys.

The current পরিস্থিত represents the fourth major oil shock for the aviation industry since the early 2000s. Previous disruptions occurred during the 2007–2008 pre-financial crisis period, following the Arab Spring in 2011, and after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022.

This time, additional concerns have emerged over fuel supply security, particularly due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy transit route. Airlines such as Vietnam Airlines have raised concerns about access to physical fuel supplies.

While airlines have sought to improve efficiency by modernizing fleets, supply-chain disruptions and technical issues with next-generation aircraft engines have delayed deliveries, limiting their ability to reduce fuel consumption.

Industry consolidation in the United States over the past decade has also reshaped the sector, with mergers such as Delta-Northwest and American Airlines-US Airways reducing the number of major carriers and enabling tighter capacity management. Meanwhile, low-cost operators like Ryanair and IndiGo have focused on streamlined fleets and rapid turnaround times to control costs.

According to aviation consultancy IBA, the current crisis is likely to widen the gap between stronger and weaker airlines. Companies with solid financial reserves and access to capital are expected to better withstand prolonged cost pressures, while those with weaker balance sheets may face growing financial strain.

Source: ZAWYA

Malaysia Aviation Group, the parent company of Malaysia Airlines, is considering whether to introduce a green tax on passengers to help cover the rising cost of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), potentially adding to airfares.

Group chief Capt. Nasaruddin A. Bakar said Monday that the company was examining different options as airlines worldwide seek to reduce carbon emissions while facing high SAF prices and limited supplies.

“We are looking at all options,” Nasaruddin told The Associated Press on the sidelines of an aviation sustainability conference. He stressed that both passengers and airlines needed to be able to afford the transition to cleaner fuel.

Singapore, Malaysia’s neighbour, has already announced a government-mandated green aviation levy set to take effect in January 2027. Charges will vary according to destination and cabin class, making Singapore the first country to announce such a measure.

The aviation sector faces growing pressure to address its environmental impact as global air travel demand increases. The International Energy Agency estimates that aviation accounts for about 2.5% of annual global carbon emissions, while the UN-backed International Civil Aviation Organization has established a goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

According to the aviation organisation, sustainable aviation fuel could reduce the industry's emissions by around 65%.

SAF is typically made from renewable materials, including used cooking oil, waste fats and agricultural residues. It can be blended with conventional jet fuel and used in existing aircraft without requiring changes to their engines.

However, its widespread adoption remains constrained by higher production costs, limited manufacturing capacity and restricted access to sustainable raw materials.

The International Air Transport Association estimates that SAF currently represents less than 1% of global jet fuel consumption, highlighting the scale of the challenge facing airlines as they work towards their emissions targets.

Source: Associated Press

SalamAir has entered into a distribution agreement with travel technology company Amadeus as the Omani low-cost airline steps up efforts to expand its international presence and reach new customer segments.

Under the agreement, travel sellers connected to the Amadeus Travel Platform will gain access to SalamAir's fares and services, allowing the airline to expand its distribution network and improve the availability of its products across global markets.

Steven Allen, chief commercial officer of SalamAir, said the partnership would support the airline's growth ambitions by strengthening its international market presence and making its services more accessible to travellers seeking affordable air travel.

The agreement forms part of SalamAir's broader strategy to diversify its sales channels, increase its global visibility and respond to rising travel demand across its expanding network.

Maher Koubaa, executive vice-president of the Travel Unit and managing director for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Amadeus, said the partnership reflected the company's commitment to supporting the low-cost airline sector. He added that Amadeus' technology solutions were designed to help low-cost carriers expand and compete in international markets.

Source: Oman Daily Observer

Emirates is expanding its Dubai-Durban schedule with 14 additional flights during the 2026-27 festive season, offering travellers more options during one of the busiest periods of the year.

The additional services will operate as a second daily flight between December 17 and 23, 2026, and January 2 and 8, 2027. The airline will deploy a three-class Boeing 777 on the route.

Flight EK2535 will depart Dubai at 04:00 and arrive in Durban at 10:30. The return service, EK2536, will leave Durban at 12:15 and land in Dubai at 22:30.

Emirates' existing daily flights, EK775 and EK776, will continue to operate according to their regular schedules.

The airline is also providing flexible booking options to help passengers manage changes to their travel plans. Customers booking flights to Dubai can change their travel dates an unlimited number of times without fees across all cabin classes. For tickets to other destinations, passengers are entitled to one complimentary date change.

Emirates' Hold My Fare service allows customers to reserve a ticket price for 24 hours at no additional cost. The airline has also reduced its refund fees.

Source: TradeArabia

Lufthansa has increased fuel loading on flights bound for Frankfurt Airport as a precautionary measure amid tighter jet fuel supplies caused by reduced pipeline capacity.

The airline said on Thursday that the move was intended to manage potential supply constraints at Germany’s largest aviation hub. Airport operator Fraport confirmed that routine maintenance was under way on a pipeline supplying jet fuel to the airport.

Fraport said the maintenance had been factored into its operational planning and was not expected to cause a fuel supply bottleneck. Alternative supply routes and sufficient storage capacity were helping to mitigate potential disruption.

“The airport's operational capability is therefore not affected,” Fraport said.

Lufthansa said it was not currently anticipating any flight cancellations as a result of the situation.

German newspaper Bild first reported the additional fuelling measures, citing internal instructions reportedly issued to Lufthansa pilots on selected routes. The practice, known as “tankering”, involves carrying more fuel than required for a flight so that an aircraft needs less or no refuelling at its destination.

According to Bild, the additional fuel carried by Airbus A320-family aircraft is limited to eight tonnes to ensure the planes can still be towed on the ground. The measures primarily affect short-haul services, although some long-haul flights are increasingly being included.

The precautionary steps are intended to give Lufthansa greater flexibility in managing its fuel requirements while pipeline maintenance continues at Frankfurt Airport.

Source: Reuters

Turkish Airlines has signed a strategic agreement with CFM International to strengthen engine maintenance capabilities and support the expansion of its Boeing 737 MAX fleet.

The long-term services agreement will cover the airline group's entire LEAP-1B engine fleet, including engines already ordered and delivered, spare engines, units installed on leased aircraft and potential future options. The combined total exceeds 600 engines operated by Turkish Airlines and its subsidiary, AJet.

The memorandum of understanding (MoU) was signed during a ceremony in Istanbul by Turkish Airlines Chairman of the Board and the Executive Committee, Prof. Murat Şeker; Turkish Technic CEO and Board Member, Mikail Akbulut; and Safran CEO Olivier Andriès. Safran is one of the two parent companies of CFM International.

The agreement also includes a material services arrangement to support the development of an engine maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) facility in Türkiye.

Şeker said the partnership would help Turkish Airlines accommodate fleet and network growth while improving operational efficiency. He added that the expanded services agreement would provide the technical expertise and long-term support required to develop LEAP engine maintenance capabilities.

Akbulut said the agreement would enable Turkish Technic to undertake comprehensive LEAP engine maintenance. He also reaffirmed the company's commitment to investing in engine services alongside its existing aircraft and component maintenance operations.

Andriès described the MoU as another milestone in a relationship with Turkish Airlines that has lasted nearly four decades. He said the agreement reflected both companies' ambitions to support the airline's growth and fleet expansion, while promoting an open MRO ecosystem offering flexible, competitive services to improve operational performance and control costs.

GE Aerospace Chairman and CEO H. Lawrence Culp Jr. also welcomed the agreement, highlighting Turkish Airlines' extensive international network and its confidence in CFM engines. He said the partnership would build on the companies' established relationship as the airline expands its Istanbul operations and engine maintenance capabilities.

Turkish Airlines currently operates 96 Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft powered by CFM56-7B engines and 79 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft equipped with LEAP-1B engines.

CFM said it had delivered more than 10,000 LEAP engines during the 10 years since the engine entered service, with the fleet accumulating over 100 million flight hours. The manufacturer continues to introduce upgrades, including a high-pressure turbine durability kit designed to extend time on wing and a reverse bleed system (RBS).

The agreement is expected to strengthen Turkish Airlines' long-standing relationship with CFM International and support the integration of newly ordered Boeing 737 MAX aircraft into its expanding fleet. The planned engine MRO facility will also enhance Turkish Technic's ability to provide comprehensive maintenance services.

Source: Turkish Airlines