Nearly six million airline passengers have been affected by widespread flight cancellations across the Middle East following the outbreak of the Iran conflict that began on February 28.
Data from aviation analytics firm Cirium indicates that between February 28 and March 13, airlines scheduled more than 98,000 flights to and from destinations across the Middle East. However, over 52,000 of those flights were canceled during the period, significantly disrupting regional and international travel.
The cancellations include routes connecting the Middle East with destinations outside the region, as well as inbound flights from other parts of the world. Domestic and intra–Middle East services were not included in the analysis.
Cirium’s estimates are based on an average passenger load factor of 80 percent — a metric representing the proportion of occupied seats relative to total seat capacity. Airlines operating in the region typically deploy aircraft averaging about 242 seats per flight, although some larger aircraft, including Airbus A380s and Boeing 777s, can accommodate significantly more passengers.
The scale of the cancellations highlights the wider impact on global aviation. Industry data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) shows that international passenger demand had been steadily rising prior to the disruptions. In January 2026, global international travel demand increased by 5.9 percent compared with the same month in 2025, while airline capacity grew by 5.8 percent year-on-year. During the same period, the average load factor reached 82.5 percent, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points.
Airlines based in the Middle East experienced even stronger growth earlier in the year. Regional carriers reported a 7.2 percent year-on-year increase in passenger demand in January, alongside a 7.8 percent rise in capacity. The load factor for Middle Eastern airlines stood at 83.2 percent, representing a modest decline of 0.4 percentage points compared with the previous year.
Commenting on the situation, IATA Director-General Willie Walsh called for efforts to protect civilian aviation amid the ongoing conflict.
“We all hope for an early peaceful resolution to the current hostilities,” Walsh said. “In the meantime, states must respect their obligation to keep civilians and civil aviation free from harm.”