The Asia-Pacific region is set to dominate the global aviation services sector over the next two decades, with its total market value expected to climb to US$138.7 billion by 2044, according to Airbus’ latest Global Services Forecast (GSF). The report projects that demand across the region—including China and India—will grow at an average annual rate of 5.2%, underpinned by strong air traffic growth and a rapidly expanding fleet.
Airbus estimates that Asia-Pacific airlines will need around 19,560 new passenger aircraft by 2044, representing nearly half of the world’s total demand during that period. Passenger traffic in the region is expected to rise by 4.4% annually, outpacing the global average of 3.6%, confirming Asia-Pacific’s position as the world’s fastest-growing air travel market.
Expanding service segments
The GSF identifies five major service areas driving this sustained growth:
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Off-Wing Maintenance – Expected to surge from US$37.1 billion in 2025 to about US$100 billion by 2044, this segment is benefitting from growing and ageing fleets. However, ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and shortages in skilled labour continue to pressure MRO capacity.
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On-Wing Maintenance – Forecast to more than double from US$6 billion to US$14 billion by 2044. Airbus notes rising investment in regional MRO infrastructure, with new base maintenance facilities being developed across India, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines to strengthen local servicing capabilities.
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Modifications and Upgrades – The market for retrofits and modernisation is projected to grow from US$3.8 billion in 2025 to US$6.2 billion in 2044, as airlines invest in cabin refreshes and new premium products. Many carriers are also integrating In-Flight Connectivity (IFC) upgrades to improve passenger experience and remain competitive.
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Digital and Connectivity Solutions – Digitalisation is set to transform maintenance and operations, with this segment rising from US$2.9 billion to US$11.2 billion by 2044. Airlines and MRO providers are increasingly turning to AI, data analytics and automation to boost efficiency, reduce downtime, and alleviate labour shortages.
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Training – With the shift toward Competency-Based Training and Assessment (CBTA), the training segment is forecast to expand from US$3.2 billion to US$7.7 billion by 2044. The region will need more than 1.06 million new aviation professionals, including 282,000 pilots, 302,000 technicians, and 473,000 cabin crew members to support sector growth.
Supporting operations
Airbus also highlighted two additional service segments that are becoming increasingly critical to airline and MRO performance:
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Maintenance Operations Support, covering engineering services, technical documentation, inventory and fleet planning, is projected to reach US$46.4 billion by 2044.
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Ground Operations, a key driver of efficiency in aircraft turnaround and on-time performance, is expected to hit US$31 billion by 2044, driven by the adoption of automation and digital systems across airports.
Asia-Pacific at the forefront
According to Airbus, Asia-Pacific will continue to set the pace for the global aviation services industry in the decades ahead. While mature markets will maintain scale, the report emphasises that China and South Asia will lead the next chapter of growth—reshaping global aviation capacity, capabilities and long-term investment priorities.